gantt
title Critical Path to Checkpoint (12-24 h)
dateFormat HH:mm
axisFormat %H:%M
section Phase A: Energy Autonomy
A1. Unload energy modules :a1, 00:00, 2h
A2. Deploy solar panels :a2, after a1, 4h
A3. Lay power cables :a3, after a2, 4h
A4. Charging station :a4, after a3, 2h
section Checkpoint
ENERGY AUTONOMY :milestone, after a4, 0d
section Phase B: Dome (parallel)
B1. Level site :b1, 00:00, 8h
B2. Deploy dome :b2, after b1, 4h
First Factory Assembly (Bootstrap)
TL;DR
- Critical checkpoint: Energy autonomy within 12-24 hours — after this, assembly time is NOT critical
- Total time: 7-32 days (depending on conditions), but post-checkpoint constraint is only Gen-1 lifespan (2-3 years)
- Gen-1 batteries: Li-S (not Li-Ion!) — operates down to -60°C
- In-flight charging: Panels on lander module (~50 m²) charge robots during 3-4 month flight
- Dome: Pre-assembled inflatable module from Earth (deployment in 4-8 hours)
Site Selection: Polar Crater
Critical: Bootstrap takes place at Mercury’s pole (Prokofiev crater, 85°N), NOT at the equator. This fundamentally changes the thermal regime.
Why the Pole, Not the Equator?
| Parameter | Mercury Equator | Pole (Prokofiev crater) |
|---|---|---|
| Day temperature | +430°C | Peaks: ~+100°C (low sun angle) |
| Night temperature | -180°C | Crater floor: -150°C (permanent) |
| Day/night cycle | 176 Earth days | No cycle — eternal shadow + eternal light |
| Li-S compatibility (-60°C…+60°C) | Impossible | Yes (operation in shadow/terminator) |
Crater Thermal Zones
A polar crater has three thermal zones:
- Peaks of eternal light (crater rims) — permanently lit (~+100°C), solar panels are placed here
- Terminator zone (slopes) — variable lighting (-50°C…+50°C), Gen-1 robot work zone
- Eternal shadow (crater floor) — permanent -150°C to -180°C, storage, cooling, water ice
Gen-1 operating mode: Robots operate in the terminator zone and on illuminated slopes. If overheating, they retreat to shadow for cooling. Li-S batteries (-60°C…+60°C) are fully compatible with this regime.
The 88-day “night” myth: This applies only to the equator. At the poles, “peaks of eternal light” are lit continuously (24/7/365). The 88-day night problem does not apply to the polar base.
Why This is a Unique Phase
Bootstrap is the only moment in the project when there are no local resources and nowhere to charge robots. After factory startup, standard production with self-replication begins.
| Aspect | Bootstrap | Standard Production |
|---|---|---|
| Robots | Gen-1 (Ti + Li-S) | Gen-2 (Fe/Al + NaS) |
| Materials | 100% imported | 97% local |
| Dome | Pre-assembled inflatable | On-site assembly |
| Energy | Limited by batteries | Unlimited |
| Critical path | Energy autonomy | Throughput |
| Repair | Spare parts limited | Local manufacturing |
Key insight: Until charging infrastructure is deployed, robots operate on batteries (15-24 hours). After checkpoint they can recharge → further assembly time is constrained only by Gen-1 lifespan (2-3 years).
Checkpoint: Energy Autonomy
Goal: Robots can recharge → further assembly time is not critical.
Critical Path Calculation
| Operation | Robots | Hours | Parallel with | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1. Unload energy modules | Crab-Z ×12 | 2 | - | Modules in position |
| A2. Deploy panels | Spider-Z ×16 | 4 | B1 | 5 MW available |
| A3. Lay cables | Centaur-Z ×8 | 4 | B1 | Power system |
| A4. Charging station | Centaur-Z ×4 | 2 | B2 | Checkpoint! |
| Critical path | 12 h |
With ×2 buffer: 24 hours to energy autonomy (margin for unexpected issues).
Note on parallelism: The diagram shows phases as “parallel”, but this is a simplification. In practice, B2.1 and C1.x start after A1.2 (dependency: “unloading complete”). After A1.2, all 12 Crab-Zs are free → B2.1 (4 units) + C1.1 (4 units) can run in parallel. Centaur-Zs (24 units) cover all parallel operations of phases A/B/C.
Why Time After Checkpoint is Not Critical
| Factor | Before checkpoint | After checkpoint |
|---|---|---|
| Robot battery | LIMIT (15-24 h) | Rechargeable |
| Work shift | LIMIT (one shift) | 24/7 |
| Robot breakdown | CRITICAL | Time for repair |
| Overall time | CRITICAL | Only Gen-1 lifespan |
Gen-1 Robots: Specifications
Batteries: Li-S (Lithium-Sulfur)
Why Li-S instead of Li-Ion:
| Parameter | Li-Ion | Li-S (2025-2026) |
|---|---|---|
| Specific energy | 150-250 Wh/kg | 400-500 Wh/kg |
| Temperature range | -20°C…+60°C | -60°C…+60°C |
| Capacity retention at -40°C | 50-60% | 85% |
| Mass (at equal capacity) | 100% | 60% (40% lighter) |
Sources: NASA Li-S, Lyten ISS 2025, ESA Li-S
Gen-1 Specifications
| Robot | Mass | Li-S Battery | Capacity | Power | Autonomy | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spider-Z | 120 kg | 10 kg | 4.5 kWh | 300 W | 15 h | Panel, mirror mounting |
| Centaur-Z | 250 kg | 25 kg | 11 kWh | 500 W | 22 h | Assembly, docking |
| Crab-Z | 950 kg | 80 kg | 36 kWh | 1500 W | 24 h | Module logistics |
| Mole-Z | 800 kg | 70 kg | 31 kWh | 2000 W | 15.5 h | Site preparation |
Calculation: Li-S specific energy 450 Wh/kg (conservative, theoretical limit 2500 Wh/kg)
Assembly Team Composition
| Type | Qty | Unit Mass | Total | Role in bootstrap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spider-Z | 16 | 120 kg | 1.9 t | Panel mounting (critical path) |
| Crab-Z | 12 | 950 kg | 11.4 t | Unloading and module logistics |
| Centaur-Z | 24 | 250 kg | 6.0 t | Assembly and connections |
| Mole-Z | 4 | 800 kg | 3.2 t | Site leveling |
| Total | 56 | 22.5 t |
On robot autonomy: Gen-1 robots perform routine operations (unloading, mounting, cable laying), not scientific research. This is closer to autonomous mining equipment (Rio Tinto/Caterpillar) than to Mars rovers.
Factory Equipment (Modular Delivery)
| Module | Mass | Contents |
|---|---|---|
| Power Module | 3.0 t | Mirrors (2000 m²) + frame + GaAs cells + radiators |
| MRE Module | 4.0 t | Furnace + crucible + electrodes + MHD + frame |
| Dome Module | 4.0 t | Shell + airlock + ladle + internal radiators (components for on-site assembly; inflatable Bootstrap module 10-12 t — see below) |
| CCM Module | 6.0 t | Crystallizer + stand + roller table (on skids) |
| Rolling Module | 10.0 t | Mill (6 stands) + drawing + winding |
| Finishing Module | 6.0 t | WAAM + grinding + assembly jig + manipulators |
| Total Equipment | ~35 t | Modular pre-assembly |
First Year Consumables
| Category | Mass | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| MRE anodes (spare) | 0.2 t | |
| Oils, lubricants | 0.1 t | |
| β-Al₂O₃ electrolytes | 0.3 t | For first 50 batteries |
| Total consumables | ~0.6 t |
Vitamins (Electronics, Rare Elements)
| Category | Mass | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Control units (for new robots) | 0.5 t | For 100 robots |
| Sensors | 0.2 t | |
| Misc electronics | 0.3 t | |
| Rare earths (Nd, Sm for magnets) | 0.1 t | |
| Tungsten wire drawing dies | 0.05 t | For WAAM wire |
| Total vitamins | ~1.15 t |
First Expedition Manifest Summary
| Category | Mass |
|---|---|
| Assembly brigade (56 robots) | 22.5 t |
| Repair kit | 1.6 t |
| Factory equipment (modules) | 35.0 t |
| Consumables (1 year) | 0.6 t |
| Vitamins (electronics) | 1.15 t |
| TOTAL first expedition | ~61 t |
In-flight Charging
Problem
Flight to Mercury takes 3-4 months. How do robots arrive charged if batteries last only 15-24 hours?
Solution: Panels on Lander Module
The lander module is equipped with deployable solar panels for charging robots in flight:
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Panels on module | ~50 m² GaAs |
| Power (near Mercury) | ~180 kW (GaAs 35%) |
| Total battery capacity (56 robots) | ~890 kWh |
| Full charge time | ~5 hours |
Flight Mode
flowchart LR
A["Launch<br/>100% charge"] --> B["Cruise phase<br/>3-4 months"]
B --> C["Mercury approach<br/>panels at full power"]
C --> D["Full charge<br/>before landing"]
D --> E["Landing<br/>100% charge"]
style A fill:#E8F5E9,stroke:#4CAF50
style E fill:#E8F5E9,stroke:#4CAF50
- Launch: Robots charged to 100% (on Earth)
- Cruise phase (3-4 months): Panels deployed, trickle charge compensates self-discharge
- Li-S self-discharge: ~2-3%/month — minimal losses
- Before landing: Final full charge
- Landing: Robots at 100% charge, ready for bootstrap
Li-S batteries are optimal for long-term storage in space: low self-discharge (~2-3%/month) and resistance to temperature variations. Detailed comparison with Li-Ion and NaS — in Batteries section.
Pre-assembled Inflatable Dome
Inflatable module (10-12 t) deploys in 4-8 hours.
Analog: Bigelow Aerospace BEAM module on ISS (16 m³, 1.4 t) — operating successfully since 2016.
BEAM → Helios scaling: BEAM is a rigid module with full life-support (1 atm, 87 kg/m³). The Helios dome is a lightweight structure: shell only (no life support — no humans), multi-layer composite instead of metal, 0.1 atm. Under these conditions, specific mass of ~1.3-1.6 kg/m³ is realistic.
Deployment process:
- Unload module (Crab-Z ×4, 1 hour)
- Position on site (Centaur-Z ×6, 1 hour)
- Inflate with N₂ (imported; subsequent domes use local O₂) (automatic, 30 min)
- Connect airlock (Centaur-Z ×4, 1 hour)
- Leak check (30 min)
- Dome ready (4 hours)
Full Operations List
Phase A: Energy Autonomy (CRITICAL, 12 h)
| # | Operation | Robots | Hours | Dependency | Robot-hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1.1 | Open cargo bay | Centaur-Z ×2 | 0.5 | - | 1 |
| A1.2 | Unload energy modules | Crab-Z ×12 | 1.5 | A1.1 | 18 |
| A1.3 | Transport to installation site | Crab-Z ×12 | 0.5 | A1.2 | 6 |
| A2.1 | Deploy panel frame | Spider-Z ×8 | 1 | A1.3 | 8 |
| A2.2 | Install GaAs cells | Spider-Z ×16 | 2 | A2.1 | 32 |
| A2.3 | Connect sections | Spider-Z ×8 | 1 | A2.2 | 8 |
| A3.1 | Lay main cable (500 m) | Centaur-Z ×4 | 2 | A2.2 | 8 |
| A3.2 | Install distribution nodes | Centaur-Z ×4 | 1 | A3.1 | 4 |
| A3.3 | Connect to panels | Centaur-Z ×4 | 1 | A3.2 | 4 |
| A4.1 | Install charging station | Centaur-Z ×4 | 1 | A3.3 | 4 |
| A4.2 | Testing and calibration | Centaur-Z ×2 | 1 | A4.1 | 2 |
| Phase A Total | 12 h | 95 robot-hours |
CHECKPOINT: Energy autonomy achieved!
Phase B: Dome (parallel with A, 12 h)
| # | Operation | Robots | Hours | Dependency | Robot-hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B1.1 | Mark site (50×30 m) | Centaur-Z ×2 | 1 | - | 2 |
| B1.2 | Remove top regolith layer | Mole-Z ×4 | 3 | B1.1 | 12 |
| B1.3 | Compact surface | Mole-Z ×4 | 2 | B1.2 | 8 |
| B1.4 | Create foundation supports | Mole-Z ×4 | 2 | B1.3 | 8 |
| B2.1 | Unload dome module | Crab-Z ×4 | 1 | A1.2 | 4 |
| B2.2 | Position on site | Centaur-Z ×6 | 1 | B1.4, B2.1 | 6 |
| B2.3 | Inflate with N₂ (0.1 atm, imported; subsequent domes use local O₂) | Automatic | 0.5 | B2.2 | 0 |
| B2.4 | Connect airlock | Centaur-Z ×4 | 1 | B2.3 | 4 |
| B2.5 | Leak check | Centaur-Z ×2 | 0.5 | B2.4 | 1 |
| Phase B Total | 12 h | 45 robot-hours |
Phase C: Equipment Installation (24-48 h)
| # | Operation | Robots | Hours | Dependency | Robot-hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C1.1 | Unload MRE module | Crab-Z ×4 | 1 | A1.2 | 4 |
| C1.2 | Transport to dome | Crab-Z ×4 | 0.5 | C1.1 | 2 |
| C1.3 | Install MRE on foundation | Crab-Z ×4 + Centaur-Z ×4 | 1 | B2.5, C1.2 | 8 |
| C1.4 | Connect MRE power | Centaur-Z ×4 | 1 | C1.3 | 4 |
| C1.5 | Connect MRE cooling | Centaur-Z ×4 | 1 | C1.4 | 4 |
| C2.1 | Unload caster module | Crab-Z ×4 | 1 | A1.2 | 4 |
| C2.2 | Transport into dome | Crab-Z ×4 | 1 | C2.1, B2.5 | 4 |
| C2.3 | Install in position | Crab-Z ×4 + Centaur-Z ×6 | 2 | C2.2 | 20 |
| C2.4 | Level and secure | Centaur-Z ×6 | 2 | C2.3 | 12 |
| C3.1 | Unload rolling module | Crab-Z ×6 | 1.5 | A1.2 | 9 |
| C3.2 | Transport into dome | Crab-Z ×6 | 1.5 | C3.1, B2.5 | 9 |
| C3.3 | Install rolling mill | Crab-Z ×4 + Centaur-Z ×6 | 3 | C3.2 | 30 |
| C3.4 | Install wire drawing | Centaur-Z ×4 | 2 | C3.3 | 8 |
| C4.1 | Unload finishing module | Crab-Z ×4 | 1 | A1.2 | 4 |
| C4.2 | Transport into dome | Crab-Z ×4 | 1 | C4.1, B2.5 | 4 |
| C4.3 | Install WAAM | Centaur-Z ×4 | 2 | C4.2 | 8 |
| C4.4 | Install grinding cell | Centaur-Z ×4 | 2 | C4.3 | 8 |
| C4.5 | Install assembly jig | Centaur-Z ×8 | 2 | C4.4 | 16 |
| C5.1 | Lay internal cables | Centaur-Z ×8 | 2 | C1.3, C2.3 | 16 |
| C5.2 | Connect all modules | Centaur-Z ×12 | 2 | C5.1 | 24 |
| Phase C Total | ~28 h | 198 robot-hours |
Phase D: Commissioning (20-40 h)
Note on calibration time: The times shown are minimum under ideal conditions. After transport (3-4 months, vibrations, thermal cycling), actual calibration may take ×2-3 longer. This is accounted for in the 20-40 h range and does not affect checkpoint.
| # | Operation | Robots | Hours | Dependency | Robot-hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D0.1 | Mine regolith for MRE (~2 t) | Mole-Z ×4 | 1 | B1.4 | 4 |
| D0.2 | Transport regolith to MRE | Crab-Z ×2 | 0.5 | D0.1 | 1 |
| D1.1 | Calibrate MRE (temp, current) | Centaur-Z ×4 | 4 | C1.5, D0.2 | 16 |
| D1.2 | Test melt (100 kg Al) | Centaur-Z ×2 | 2 | D1.1 | 4 |
| D2.1 | Calibrate caster (speed, cooling) | Centaur-Z ×4 | 3 | C2.4 | 12 |
| D2.2 | Test casting (50 kg) | Centaur-Z ×2 | 2 | D2.1 | 4 |
| D3.1 | Calibrate rolling mill | Centaur-Z ×4 | 3 | C3.4 | 12 |
| D3.2 | Test rolling (billet → rod) | Centaur-Z ×2 | 2 | D3.1 | 4 |
| D3.3 | Calibrate wire drawing | Centaur-Z ×2 | 2 | D3.2 | 4 |
| D3.4 | Test drawing (rod → wire) | Centaur-Z ×2 | 1 | D3.3 | 2 |
| D4.1 | Calibrate WAAM | Centaur-Z ×4 | 2 | C4.3 | 8 |
| D4.2 | Test deposition (bracket) | Centaur-Z ×2 | 2 | D4.1 | 4 |
| D4.3 | Calibrate grinding | Centaur-Z ×2 | 2 | C4.4 | 4 |
| D4.4 | Test grinding | Centaur-Z ×2 | 1 | D4.3 | 2 |
| D5.1 | Integration test (full cycle) | Centaur-Z ×8 | 4 | D1.2, D2.2, D3.4, D4.4 | 32 |
| D5.2 | First production melt | Centaur-Z ×4 | 4 | D5.1 | 16 |
| Phase D Total | ~35.5 h | 129 robot-hours |
Phase E: First Gen-2 Robot (24-30 h)
| # | Operation | Robots/Equipment | Hours | Dependency | Robot-hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E1.1 | Melt Al for frame (300 kg) | MRE (auto) | 4 | D5.2 | 0 |
| E1.2 | Melt Fe for tracks (560 kg) | MRE (auto) | 4 | D5.2 | 0 |
| E2.1 | Cast billets (caster) | Caster (auto) | 6 | E1.1, E1.2 | 0 |
| E2.2 | Roll frame profile | Rolling (auto) | 4 | E2.1 | 0 |
| E2.3 | Draw wire for WAAM | Drawing (auto) | 2 | E2.2 | 0 |
| E3.1 | WAAM: body and complex parts | WAAM (auto) | 4 | E2.3 | 0 |
| E3.2 | Grinding: finish processing | Centaur-M + abrasive (auto) | 2 | E3.1 | 0 |
| E4.1 | Assemble chassis | Centaur-Z ×4 | 2 | E3.2 | 8 |
| E4.2 | Install motors | Centaur-Z ×2 | 1 | E4.1 | 2 |
| E4.3 | Install NaS battery | Centaur-Z ×2 | 1 | E4.2 | 2 |
| E4.4 | Install electronics (vitamins) | Centaur-Z ×2 | 1 | E4.3 | 2 |
| E5.1 | Calibration and testing | Centaur-Z ×2 | 2 | E4.4 | 4 |
| E5.2 | First Gen-2 deployment | — | — | E5.1 | — |
| Phase E Total | ~30 h | 18 robot-hours |
Summary: Total Time and Robot-Hours
| Phase | Description | Hours | Robot-hours | Criticality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Energy autonomy | 12 | 95 | CRITICAL |
| B | Dome | (12) | 45 | Parallel with A |
| C | Equipment installation | 28 | 198 | After checkpoint |
| D | Commissioning | 35.5 | 129 | After C |
| E | First Gen-2 | 30 | 18 | After D |
| Total | ~106 h | 485 robot-hours |
Sequential time: ~106 hours = ~4.5 days (excluding nights, recharges, issues)
Note: Phase B runs in parallel with A (12 h ≤ 12 h critical path of A), so it’s not added to total time.
Three Scenarios
| Scenario | Before checkpoint | After checkpoint | Total | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Optimistic | 12 h | 6 days | 7 days | Everything works perfectly |
| Realistic | 24 h | 10-15 days | 11-16 days | Typical delays, recharges |
| Pessimistic | 48 h | 20-30 days | 22-32 days | Equipment issues, breakdowns |
Conclusion: After checkpoint (12-24 h) time is not critical — constrained only by Gen-1 robot lifespan (2-3 years). Even 30-day assembly keeps the project viable.
Bootstrap Phase Risks
| Risk | Impact | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|
| Robot breakdown before checkpoint | Critical | 20% robot reserve, repair kit |
| Panel malfunction | Critical | Spare sections in manifest |
| Dome damage | High | Sealant repair kit, spare airlock |
| MRE module failure | Medium | Spare electrodes |
| Module incompatibility | Low | Earth pre-assembly, testing |
Repair Kit (updated)
| Component | Qty | Mass | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spare legs (Spider-Z) | 32 | 160 kg | 2 sets per robot |
| Spare tracks (Crab-Z) | 48 | 300 kg | 4 sets per robot |
| Li-S batteries (Gen-1) | 15 | 750 kg | Reserve (not NaS!) |
| Control units | 8 | 80 kg | Brains — critical |
| Sensors (cameras, lidars) | 30 | 50 kg | |
| Actuators (motors) | 50 | 250 kg | |
| MoS₂ lubricant | — | 15 kg | |
| Repair kit total | ~1.6 t |
See Also
- Production — standard operation mode
- Robots — Gen-1 and Gen-2 specifications
- Risks and Constraints — overall risk analysis
- Technologies and Sources — Li-S battery TRL
- Roadmap — project timeline